Impact based forecast
February 24 marked one year since Russia invaded Ukraine. This past year, PPRD East 3 colleagues from CIMA Research Foundation have been providing weather forecasts to help the aid workers from the Italian Red Cross. By highlighting possible risk factors in the affected areas, we ensure safer and more effective humanitarian operations.
“The only real way to ensure sustainability and to maximize the impact of European projects is to work on synergic approaches capable of strengthening partnerships and of utilizing the important results gained within a systemic civil protection perspective,” says Davide Miozzo dep. Team Leader and Key Expert for PPRD East 3.
CIMA Research Foundation writes:
Managing emergencies during conflicts by putting science and humanitarian aid together can be a real game changer. Since Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine began, the PPRD EAST 3 consortium, coordinated by the Swedish Civil Protection organization (MSB), has developed activities to support Ukrainian authorities in structuring and strengthening the ongoing civil protection and humanitarian intervention, by establishing Early Warning to Early Action mechanisms.
Thanks to the synergy between the PPRD EAST 3 and the SEE MHEWS projects, CIMA Research Foundation and the Italian Red Cross (CRI) have developed an Impact-Based Forecast (IBF). This daily bulletin - shared with the organizations responsible for managing the humanitarian crisis caused by the conflict – is providing information on hydro-meteorological events (such as low temperatures, cold waves, rain, snow, etc.), and this is applied to the presence of IDPs (internally displaced persons), the population, the locations of Red Cross mobile clinics, and infrastructure (especially roads). The thresholds have been set to reflect the severity of impacts on specific exposed factors (e.g. roads, IDPs, population), thus enabling responders to plan accordingly.
This valuable tool is used operationally by CRI to plan its intervention in the country, providing situational awareness to enable a more accurate short/medium term planning of the humanitarian and civil protection actions.
Learn more here: https://www.cimafoundation.org/.../science-civil.../
The news was also highlighted on Relief web: https://reliefweb.int/report/ukraine/impact-based-forecast-ukraine-early-warning-early-action-strategies-support-humanitarian-aid